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Updated 1 hr. ago
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?
61 %
chance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$92K
24h vol.
$3.6K
1w vol.
$12.4K
1m vol.
$63.7K
Liquidity
$6.8K
Bid / Ask
59¢ / 63¢
Spread 4¢
Last trade
61¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 hr. ago | Sell | 38¢ | 5 |
| 6 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 5 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 36¢ | 151 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 63 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 19 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 50 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 36¢ | 19 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 63 |
| 13 hr. ago | Sell | 37¢ | 13 |
| 13 hr. ago | Buy | 64¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 61¢ | 272 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 37¢ | 19 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 19 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 38¢ | 25 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 61¢ | 92 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 39¢ | 65 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 52 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 40¢ | 279 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 48 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 3 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 148 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 40¢ | 80 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 41¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 41¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 241 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 58¢ | 16 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 62 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 113 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 59¢ | 245 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 60¢ | 46 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 100 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 59¢ | 99 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 892 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 102 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 100 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 120 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 520 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 56¢ | 140 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 44¢ | 18 |
| 15 hr. ago | Sell | 56¢ | 14 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 50 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 45¢ | 7 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 57¢ | 100 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 43¢ | 100 |
| 15 hr. ago | Buy | 55¢ | 310 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
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