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Updated 1 hr. ago

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?

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61 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▲ +6.3%24h▲ +7.3%1W
Yes 61¢No 39¢

Total volume

$92K

24h vol.

$3.6K

1w vol.

$12.4K

1m vol.

$63.7K

Liquidity

$6.8K

Bid / Ask

59¢ / 63¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

61¢

Start date

Aug 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
59¢$5
59¢$117
59¢$500
59¢$704
58¢$500
58¢$200
57¢$109
57¢$18
56¢$330
56¢$100
Asks (sell)Size
62¢$45
64¢$71
64¢$136
64¢$135
64¢$50
64¢$242
64¢$51
65¢$50
66¢$113
66¢$500

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 82%Sells 18%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
6 hr. agoSell38¢5
6 hr. agoBuy38¢5
13 hr. agoBuy36¢151
13 hr. agoBuy64¢63
13 hr. agoSell36¢19
13 hr. agoSell36¢50
13 hr. agoSell36¢19
13 hr. agoBuy37¢63
13 hr. agoSell37¢13
13 hr. agoBuy64¢50
15 hr. agoBuy61¢272
15 hr. agoBuy37¢19
15 hr. agoBuy38¢19
15 hr. agoBuy38¢25
15 hr. agoSell61¢92
15 hr. agoBuy39¢65
15 hr. agoSell60¢52
15 hr. agoSell40¢279
15 hr. agoSell60¢48
15 hr. agoSell60¢3
15 hr. agoBuy40¢148
15 hr. agoBuy40¢80
15 hr. agoSell41¢50
15 hr. agoBuy41¢50
15 hr. agoSell41¢50
15 hr. agoBuy41¢50
15 hr. agoBuy57¢241
15 hr. agoSell58¢16
15 hr. agoBuy43¢50
15 hr. agoBuy43¢62
15 hr. agoBuy43¢113
15 hr. agoBuy59¢245
15 hr. agoSell60¢46
15 hr. agoSell59¢100
15 hr. agoSell59¢99
15 hr. agoBuy56¢892
15 hr. agoBuy43¢102
15 hr. agoBuy44¢50
15 hr. agoBuy44¢100
15 hr. agoBuy44¢120
15 hr. agoBuy44¢520
15 hr. agoBuy56¢140
15 hr. agoBuy44¢18
15 hr. agoSell56¢14
15 hr. agoBuy45¢50
15 hr. agoBuy45¢50
15 hr. agoBuy45¢7
15 hr. agoBuy57¢100
15 hr. agoBuy43¢100
15 hr. agoBuy55¢310

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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