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Updated 1 mo. ago
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?
12 %
chance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$15.9K
24h vol.
$1.9K
1w vol.
$6.2K
1m vol.
$7.9K
Liquidity
$6.9K
Bid / Ask
12¢ / 12¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 4¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 209 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 29 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 123 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 52 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 39 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 27 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 0 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 10 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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