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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?

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12 %

chance

▲ +0.7%1h▼ −8.8%24h▲ +5.0%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢

Total volume

$15.9K

24h vol.

$1.9K

1w vol.

$6.2K

1m vol.

$7.9K

Liquidity

$6.9K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 12¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Aug 19, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2028

ends in 1 yr.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$40
3¢$30
3¢$8
1¢$89
1¢$14
1¢$225
1¢$1,000
0¢$60
0¢$2,132
0¢$5,743
Asks (sell)Size
7¢$119
17¢$16
17¢$10
17¢$10
18¢$30
18¢$8
19¢$11
20¢$45
20¢$85
20¢$115

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 64%Sells 36%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢209
1 mo. agoSell3¢18
1 mo. agoSell3¢30
1 mo. agoSell3¢29
1 mo. agoSell3¢9
1 mo. agoSell3¢123
1 mo. agoBuy3¢9
1 mo. agoSell3¢9
1 mo. agoSell2¢21
1 mo. agoBuy2¢21
1 mo. agoSell2¢60
1 mo. agoBuy2¢60
1 mo. agoBuy2¢52
1 mo. agoSell3¢10
1 mo. agoSell2¢42
1 mo. agoSell2¢30
1 mo. agoBuy2¢30
1 mo. agoBuy99¢39
1 mo. agoBuy1¢19
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy99¢9
1 mo. agoBuy1¢9
1 mo. agoBuy98¢13
1 mo. agoBuy2¢13
1 mo. agoBuy98¢10
1 mo. agoBuy2¢10
1 mo. agoBuy98¢27
1 mo. agoBuy2¢27
1 mo. agoBuy98¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢0
1 mo. agoBuy97¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢21
1 mo. agoSell5¢21
1 mo. agoSell4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy99¢20
1 mo. agoBuy1¢20
1 mo. agoBuy99¢10
1 mo. agoBuy1¢10
1 mo. agoBuy4¢25
1 mo. agoBuy96¢4
1 mo. agoBuy96¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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