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Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?
0 %
chance
In which month will Anthropic IPO?
16 outcomesTotal volume
$91K
24h vol.
$727.185
1w vol.
$4.6K
1m vol.
$25.1K
Liquidity
$6.7K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Aug 19, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2028
ends in 1 yr.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 5 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 50 |
| 3 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 7 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 5,191 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 4,502 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 372 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 4¢ | 8 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 209 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 96¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 9 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 55 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 55 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 54 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 4 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 60 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 59 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 60 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 60 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 30 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 44 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 44 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 19 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 19 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 24 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 24 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 62 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 50 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 11 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 11 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 12 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 41 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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