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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Peñarol be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

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5 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▼ −7.1%24h▼ −12.7%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$284.58

24h vol.

$190.58

1w vol.

$284.58

1m vol.

$284.58

Liquidity

$178.415

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 9¢

Spread 8¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 8¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$82
1¢$20
0¢$55
0¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$90
9¢$82
18¢$20
90¢$5
90¢$21
98¢$5
99¢$7
99¢$8
100¢$38
100¢$403

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (19)

Buys 99%Sells 1%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy95¢20
4 wk. agoBuy5¢20
4 wk. agoBuy100¢20
4 wk. agoBuy0¢20
4 wk. agoBuy92¢151
4 wk. agoBuy8¢90
4 wk. agoBuy9¢20
4 wk. agoBuy9¢20
4 wk. agoBuy9¢21
4 wk. agoSell1¢8
4 wk. agoBuy1¢8
4 wk. agoBuy89¢5
4 wk. agoBuy11¢5
4 wk. agoBuy85¢20
4 wk. agoBuy15¢20
4 wk. agoBuy89¢61
4 wk. agoBuy8¢20
4 wk. agoBuy10¢21
4 wk. agoBuy15¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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