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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Peñarol be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
5 %
chance
Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)
10 outcomesTotal volume
$284.58
24h vol.
$190.58
1w vol.
$284.58
1m vol.
$284.58
Liquidity
$178.415
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 9¢
Spread 8¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Aug 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 8¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (19)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 151 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 90 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 9¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 8 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 8 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 11¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 85¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 89¢ | 61 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 10¢ | 21 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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