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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Deportivo Maldonado be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

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9 %

chance

▼ −17.5%24h▼ −41.0%1W
Yes 9¢No 91¢

Total volume

$235.99

24h vol.

$235.99

1w vol.

$235.99

1m vol.

$235.99

Liquidity

$189.824

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 12¢

Spread 6¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 669 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.8% resolved YES. That is 3.9 points more often than their average price of 9.8% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
0¢$291
0¢$80
0¢$50
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$102
95¢$10
95¢$10
96¢$54
99¢$7
99¢$8
100¢$24
100¢$40
100¢$50
100¢$7

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (21)

Buys 87%Sells 13%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell1¢9
1 mo. agoBuy1¢1
1 mo. agoBuy1¢8
1 mo. agoBuy3¢41
1 mo. agoSell3¢41
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢40
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy93¢50
1 mo. agoBuy7¢50
1 mo. agoBuy92¢71
1 mo. agoBuy8¢50
1 mo. agoBuy8¢21
1 mo. agoBuy90¢20
1 mo. agoBuy10¢20
1 mo. agoBuy79¢95
1 mo. agoBuy21¢55
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20
1 mo. agoBuy21¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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