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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Defensor Sporting be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

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5 %

chance

▼ −15.8%24h▼ −14.2%1W
Yes 5¢No 95¢

Total volume

$122

24h vol.

$122

1w vol.

$122

1m vol.

$122

Liquidity

$80.069

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 9¢

Spread 8¢

Last trade

50¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 291 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.4%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 8¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$50
1¢$20
0¢$5
0¢$103
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$82
90¢$5
90¢$21
99¢$7
99¢$8
100¢$18
100¢$30
100¢$103

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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Recent trades (10)

Buys 92%Sells 8%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy96¢41
4 wk. agoBuy4¢20
4 wk. agoBuy5¢21
4 wk. agoBuy70¢41
4 wk. agoBuy10¢21
4 wk. agoSell50¢20
4 wk. agoBuy24¢20
4 wk. agoBuy76¢20
4 wk. agoBuy50¢20
4 wk. agoBuy50¢20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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