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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Montevideo Wanderers be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?
60 %
chance
Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)
10 outcomesTotal volume
$144
24h vol.
$124
1w vol.
$144
1m vol.
$144
Liquidity
$33.424
Bid / Ask
27¢ / 92¢
Spread 65¢
Last trade
30¢
Start date
Aug 26, 2026
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 49¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (22)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 34¢ | 60 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 65¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 66¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 34¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 15¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 15¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 30¢ | 102 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 69¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 70¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 22 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 71¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 26¢ | 20 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 74¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
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Smart money is a Pro+ feature
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◆ Kalshi comparison
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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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