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Updated 3 wk. ago

Will Albion be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

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19 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▼ −35.5%24h▼ −10.0%1W
Yes 19¢No 82¢

Total volume

$1.5K

24h vol.

$171.67

1w vol.

$231.67

1m vol.

$1.5K

Liquidity

$40.504

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 36¢

Spread 35¢

Last trade

36¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 2,886 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 31.4% resolved YES. That is 5.3 points more often than their average price of 26.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 28¢
Bids (buy)Size
55¢$55
50¢$5
30¢$20
29¢$20
28¢$60
13¢$20
10¢$21
1¢$8
Asks (sell)Size
83¢$5
84¢$50
85¢$100
88¢$20
89¢$20
90¢$41
97¢$22
98¢$71
99¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (21)

Buys 98%Sells 2%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 wk. agoSell11¢5
3 wk. agoBuy11¢5
3 wk. agoBuy86¢5
3 wk. agoBuy14¢5
3 wk. agoBuy28¢399
3 wk. agoBuy71¢80
3 wk. agoBuy71¢20
3 wk. agoBuy72¢220
3 wk. agoBuy72¢39
3 wk. agoBuy72¢20
3 wk. agoBuy72¢20
3 wk. agoBuy25¢20
3 wk. agoBuy75¢20
3 wk. agoBuy24¢20
3 wk. agoBuy76¢20
4 wk. agoBuy24¢10
4 wk. agoBuy76¢10
4 wk. agoSell76¢10
4 wk. agoBuy76¢10
4 wk. agoBuy26¢10
4 wk. agoBuy74¢10

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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