← Dashboard · Sports

Updated 4 wk. ago

Will Danubio be relegated from the 2026 Uruguayan Primera División?

Other

60 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▼ −28.5%24h▼ −15.5%1W

Yes 60¢No 40¢

Uruguayan Primera División: Teams relegated (2026)

10 outcomes

Total volume

$390

24h vol.

$140

1w vol.

$180

1m vol.

$390

Liquidity

$27.134

Bid / Ask

26¢ / 94¢

Spread 68¢

Last trade

85¢

Start date

Aug 26, 2026

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,434 resolved Polymarket Sports markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢

Bids (buy)Size

86¢$20

85¢$100

81¢$30

27¢$50

26¢$20

15¢$20

1¢$8

Asks (sell)Size

90¢$60

92¢$170

98¢$31

99¢$27

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (12)

Buys 88%Sells 12%

Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
Time	Side	Price	Size
4 wk. ago	Sell	86¢	40
4 wk. ago	Sell	14¢	20
4 wk. ago	Buy	86¢	20
1 mo. ago	Buy	61¢	170
1 mo. ago	Buy	39¢	20
1 mo. ago	Buy	39¢	20
1 mo. ago	Buy	39¢	30
1 mo. ago	Buy	39¢	100
1 mo. ago	Buy	62¢	20
1 mo. ago	Buy	38¢	20
1 mo. ago	Buy	26¢	20
1 mo. ago	Buy	74¢	20

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Sports markets from other events.