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Updated 1 hr. ago

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?

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48 %

chance

▲ +0.5%1h▲ +6.5%24h▼ −4.5%1W
Yes 48¢No 52¢

Which company has the best AI model end of November?

21 outcomes
See all 21 outcomes

Total volume

$60.2K

24h vol.

$3.8K

1w vol.

$16.3K

1m vol.

$60K

Liquidity

$16.6K

Bid / Ask

47¢ / 49¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

49¢

Start date

Sep 18, 2026

End date

Dec 1, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
47¢$5
46¢$348
45¢$2,704
44¢$3,742
43¢$7,000
42¢$3,395
41¢$6,982
40¢$100
39¢$500
20¢$5
Asks (sell)Size
49¢$65
50¢$1,735
51¢$1,085
52¢$875
58¢$50
59¢$400
60¢$330
62¢$323
63¢$775
70¢$50

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 96%Sells 4%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoSell51¢40
1 hr. agoBuy51¢25
1 hr. agoBuy51¢5
1 hr. agoBuy51¢10
2 hr. agoBuy49¢3
2 hr. agoBuy51¢3
2 hr. agoBuy45¢242
2 hr. agoSell45¢9
2 hr. agoBuy55¢8
2 hr. agoBuy55¢40
2 hr. agoBuy55¢40
2 hr. agoBuy55¢40
2 hr. agoBuy55¢69
2 hr. agoBuy55¢36
2 hr. agoBuy49¢40
2 hr. agoBuy51¢23
2 hr. agoBuy51¢5
2 hr. agoBuy51¢8
2 hr. agoSell47¢4
4 hr. agoSell56¢1
4 hr. agoBuy56¢1
10 hr. agoBuy57¢2
10 hr. agoBuy43¢2
16 hr. agoBuy45¢4
16 hr. agoBuy55¢4
16 hr. agoBuy44¢18
16 hr. agoBuy56¢18
16 hr. agoSell43¢40
16 hr. agoBuy43¢40
16 hr. agoBuy57¢310
16 hr. agoBuy43¢40
16 hr. agoBuy43¢41
16 hr. agoBuy43¢100
16 hr. agoSell56¢10
16 hr. agoBuy44¢100
16 hr. agoBuy44¢19
16 hr. agoBuy57¢41
16 hr. agoBuy43¢41
17 hr. agoBuy56¢18
17 hr. agoBuy44¢18
20 hr. agoBuy46¢17
20 hr. agoBuy54¢5
20 hr. agoBuy54¢12
20 hr. agoBuy45¢86
20 hr. agoBuy55¢86
20 hr. agoBuy46¢20
20 hr. agoBuy54¢20
20 hr. agoBuy45¢635
20 hr. agoBuy55¢127
20 hr. agoBuy55¢28

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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