← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 38 min. ago

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
0 %
chance
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
21 outcomesTotal volume
$33K
24h vol.
$9.2K
1w vol.
$15.5K
1m vol.
$32.9K
Liquidity
$12.2K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Sep 18, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 25 |
| 1 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 25 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 59 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 59 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 27 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 27 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 32 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 32 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 114 |
| 4 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 114 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 114 |
| 4 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 114 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 37 |
| 5 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 37 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 32 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 32 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 850 |
| 7 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 850 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 506 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 506 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 376 |
| 7 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 376 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 833 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 833 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 833 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 833 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 214 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 94 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 102 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 18 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 643 |
| 8 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 643 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 857 |
| 8 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 857 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 26 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 26 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 945 |
| 9 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 945 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 312 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 312 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 659 |
| 9 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 659 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 721 |
| 12 hr. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 721 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 180 |
| 12 hr. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 180 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.