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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of November 2026?
0 %
chance
Which company has the best AI model end of November?
21 outcomesTotal volume
$3.2K
24h vol.
$2.7K
1w vol.
$2.8K
1m vol.
$3.2K
Liquidity
$5.8K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Sep 18, 2026
End date
Dec 1, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (44)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 14 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 6 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 22 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 4 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 5 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 13 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 18 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 21 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 4 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 1 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 3 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 3¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 96¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 13 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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