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Updated 4 wk. ago
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be below -3.00 ft by November 30?
9 %
chance
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
5 outcomesTotal volume
$807.786
24h vol.
$353
1w vol.
$807.786
1m vol.
$807.786
Liquidity
$816.908
Bid / Ask
8¢ / 10¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
13¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2026
End date
Dec 2, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 3¢Snapshot from cache
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Recent trades (4)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 12¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 20 |
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