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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?

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7 %

chance

▼ −0.5%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 7¢No 94¢

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$1.7K

24h vol.

$442.44

1w vol.

$1.7K

1m vol.

$1.7K

Liquidity

$992.884

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

6¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2026

End date

Dec 2, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 32¢
Bids (buy)Size
6¢$23
5¢$50
4¢$175
2¢$280
1¢$833
Asks (sell)Size
38¢$15
39¢$120
45¢$95
46¢$117
47¢$17
49¢$20
87¢$40
88¢$100
98¢$400
99¢$110

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (10)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoBuy62¢20
4 wk. agoBuy38¢20
4 wk. agoBuy44¢19
4 wk. agoBuy56¢19
4 wk. agoBuy59¢21
4 wk. agoBuy41¢21
4 wk. agoBuy58¢20
4 wk. agoBuy42¢20
4 wk. agoBuy58¢1
4 wk. agoBuy42¢1

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