← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 4 wk. ago
Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?
14 %
chance
Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?
5 outcomes- -1.00 to 0.99 ft50 %
- -3.00 to -1.01 ft18 %
- 1.00 to 2.99 ft14 %
- Below -3.00 ft9 %
- 3.00 ft or more7 %
Total volume
$2.9K
24h vol.
$1.2K
1w vol.
$2.9K
1m vol.
$2.9K
Liquidity
$1.4K
Bid / Ask
14¢ / 15¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
14¢
Start date
Sep 22, 2026
End date
Dec 2, 2026
ends in 1 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 7¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (10)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 21¢ | 16 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 16 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 84¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 16¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 52¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 52¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 86¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 51¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.