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Updated 4 wk. ago

Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -3.00 to -1.01 ft by November 30?

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18 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +3.0%24h
Yes 18¢No 83¢

Lowest Mississippi level at St. Louis by November 30?

5 outcomes
See all 5 outcomes

Total volume

$2.1K

24h vol.

$1.3K

1w vol.

$2.1K

1m vol.

$2.1K

Liquidity

$802.526

Bid / Ask

16¢ / 19¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

13¢

Start date

Sep 22, 2026

End date

Dec 2, 2026

ends in 1 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 3,440 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 30.3% resolved YES. That is 4.7 points more often than their average price of 25.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
17¢$73
16¢$61
8¢$44
7¢$50
2¢$289
1¢$483
Asks (sell)Size
22¢$105
23¢$60
51¢$40
52¢$100
53¢$100
54¢$65
55¢$33
91¢$500
92¢$60
93¢$100

Snapshot from cache

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Recent trades (31)

Buys 69%Sells 31%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
4 wk. agoSell78¢13
4 wk. agoBuy78¢13
4 wk. agoSell22¢20
4 wk. agoBuy22¢20
4 wk. agoSell21¢42
4 wk. agoBuy21¢22
4 wk. agoBuy22¢20
4 wk. agoSell28¢141
4 wk. agoBuy21¢21
4 wk. agoBuy29¢20
4 wk. agoBuy29¢20
4 wk. agoBuy29¢20
4 wk. agoBuy29¢20
4 wk. agoSell71¢20
4 wk. agoBuy29¢20
4 wk. agoBuy71¢20
4 wk. agoBuy29¢20
4 wk. agoBuy72¢22
4 wk. agoBuy28¢19
4 wk. agoBuy29¢3
4 wk. agoSell47¢7
4 wk. agoBuy47¢7
4 wk. agoBuy16¢141
4 wk. agoBuy83¢20
4 wk. agoBuy84¢20
4 wk. agoBuy84¢41
4 wk. agoBuy84¢20
4 wk. agoBuy84¢20
4 wk. agoBuy84¢20
4 wk. agoSell2¢20
4 wk. agoBuy2¢20

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