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Updated 3 days ago
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026?
0 %
chance
How surprising was this result?
Seven days before the end, the market priced YES at 11%.
Among 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced in the same range, a result like this one happened 90% of the time — the expected outcome.
US announces end of Iranian blockade by...?
4 outcomesTotal volume
$3.7M
24h vol.
$250.5K
1w vol.
$1.2M
1m vol.
$3.7M
Liquidity
$87.5K
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Sep 24, 2026
End date
Oct 16, 2026
trading closed
Orderbook
No orders
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Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 221 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 221 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 25 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 5,185 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 5,185 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 67,101 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 67,101 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 114 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 114 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,022 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,022 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,207 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1,207 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 929 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 114 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 68 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 282 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 157 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 309 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 11 |
| 3 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 3,000 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 1,680 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 252 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 65 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 100 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 37 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 199 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 16 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 19 |
| 3 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 632 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 200 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 341 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 241 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 100¢ | 12,350 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 50 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2,000 |
| 4 days ago | Sell | 0¢ | 10,300 |
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