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Updated 4 min. ago

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

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13 %

chance

▼ −0.8%1h▼ −9.0%24h▲ +9.4%1W
Yes 13¢No 87¢

2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?

9 outcomes
See all 9 outcomes

Total volume

$17.4K

24h vol.

$3.1K

1w vol.

$16.8K

1m vol.

$17.4K

Liquidity

$11.3K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 14¢

Spread 3¢

Last trade

15¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,182 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 13.7% resolved YES. That is 4.0 points more often than their average price of 9.7% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 3¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$54
12¢$20
11¢$20
10¢$10
10¢$69
10¢$21
7¢$20
7¢$44
7¢$195
4¢$10
Asks (sell)Size
14¢$43
15¢$20
17¢$30
17¢$10
17¢$20
17¢$37
18¢$5
18¢$33
19¢$50
19¢$60

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 70%Sells 30%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 hr. agoBuy15¢56
1 hr. agoBuy84¢20
1 hr. agoSell14¢9
1 hr. agoBuy86¢20
1 hr. agoSell14¢7
2 hr. agoBuy88¢36
2 hr. agoBuy12¢29
2 hr. agoBuy12¢7
3 hr. agoSell12¢29
3 hr. agoBuy12¢9
3 hr. agoSell88¢20
3 hr. agoBuy87¢3
3 hr. agoSell87¢3
5 hr. agoSell86¢0
5 hr. agoBuy86¢0
5 hr. agoBuy13¢30
5 hr. agoBuy87¢20
5 hr. agoBuy87¢10
5 hr. agoSell87¢10
5 hr. agoBuy87¢10
5 hr. agoSell87¢1
5 hr. agoBuy87¢1
5 hr. agoBuy14¢7
5 hr. agoSell14¢7
5 hr. agoSell12¢3
5 hr. agoSell88¢3
5 hr. agoBuy87¢19
5 hr. agoBuy12¢3
5 hr. agoSell87¢16
5 hr. agoBuy86¢21
5 hr. agoSell86¢4
5 hr. agoSell86¢17
5 hr. agoBuy86¢6
5 hr. agoSell86¢6
6 hr. agoBuy86¢24
6 hr. agoSell86¢24
6 hr. agoBuy86¢13
6 hr. agoSell86¢3
6 hr. agoBuy14¢10
6 hr. agoBuy86¢59
6 hr. agoBuy14¢29
6 hr. agoBuy14¢30
8 hr. agoBuy85¢20
8 hr. agoSell85¢20
9 hr. agoBuy84¢100
9 hr. agoSell85¢22
9 hr. agoSell84¢20
9 hr. agoBuy17¢20
9 hr. agoSell83¢20
9 hr. agoSell83¢18

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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