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Updated 17 hr. ago

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?

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0 %

chance

▼ −0.1%24h▼ −0.1%1W
Yes 0¢No 100¢

Total volume

$3.9K

24h vol.

$1.6K

1w vol.

$3.4K

1m vol.

$3.9K

Liquidity

$5.2K

Last trade

0¢

Start date

Oct 1, 2026

End date

Nov 1, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Bids (buy)Size

No orders

Asks (sell)Size
0¢$1,874
0¢$1,904
1¢$137
1¢$156
2¢$10
3¢$50
4¢$7
5¢$30
7¢$30
10¢$182

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 100%Sells 0%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
24 hr. agoBuy100¢1,585
24 hr. agoBuy0¢6
24 hr. agoBuy0¢150
24 hr. agoBuy0¢1,429
2 days agoBuy100¢10
2 days agoBuy0¢10
2 days agoBuy100¢5
2 days agoBuy0¢5
2 days agoSell0¢13
2 days agoBuy0¢13
2 days agoBuy100¢20
2 days agoBuy0¢20
2 days agoBuy100¢12
2 days agoBuy0¢12
2 days agoBuy100¢85
2 days agoBuy0¢85
2 days agoBuy100¢10
2 days agoBuy0¢10
2 days agoBuy100¢20
2 days agoBuy0¢20
2 days agoBuy100¢149
2 days agoBuy0¢149
2 days agoBuy100¢33
2 days agoBuy0¢33
2 days agoBuy100¢25
2 days agoBuy0¢25
3 days agoSell0¢4
3 days agoBuy0¢4
3 days agoBuy100¢13
3 days agoBuy0¢13
3 days agoBuy100¢10
3 days agoBuy0¢10
3 days agoBuy100¢22
3 days agoBuy0¢22
3 days agoBuy100¢21
3 days agoBuy0¢21
3 days agoBuy100¢20
3 days agoBuy0¢20
3 days agoBuy100¢10
3 days agoBuy0¢10
3 days agoBuy100¢13
3 days agoBuy0¢13
3 days agoBuy100¢27
3 days agoBuy0¢27
3 days agoBuy100¢55
3 days agoBuy0¢55
3 days agoBuy100¢40
3 days agoBuy0¢40
3 days agoBuy100¢9
3 days agoBuy0¢9

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

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