← Dashboard · Tech
Updated 3 wk. ago
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
0 %
chance
2nd Largest Company end of October 2026?
9 outcomesTotal volume
$2.5K
Liquidity
$4.2K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Oct 1, 2026
End date
Nov 1, 2026
ends in 2 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 137 resolved Polymarket Tech markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.2% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (7)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 20 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 18 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 12 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 6 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 80 |
| 3 wk. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 80 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Tech markets from other events.