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Updated 12 hr. ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?

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71 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −6.0%1W
Yes 71¢No 30¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$252.2K

24h vol.

$15.8K

1w vol.

$137.4K

1m vol.

$252.2K

Liquidity

$60.1K

Bid / Ask

70¢ / 71¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

70¢

Start date

Oct 5, 2026

End date

Nov 16, 2026

ends in 4 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,762 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 65–85% seven days before resolution, 68.5% resolved YES. That is 4.6 points less often than their average price of 73.1% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
70¢$229
69¢$3,654
68¢$1,581
67¢$2,116
66¢$2,216
65¢$42
64¢$100
63¢$211
62¢$1,427
61¢$128
Asks (sell)Size
71¢$137
72¢$1,022
73¢$2,226
74¢$6,686
75¢$24,923
76¢$768
77¢$873
78¢$545
79¢$67
80¢$5,051

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
15 hr. agoBuy70¢196
15 hr. agoSell70¢46
15 hr. agoSell70¢50
15 hr. agoBuy30¢50
15 hr. agoBuy30¢50
15 hr. agoBuy31¢452
15 hr. agoBuy69¢357
15 hr. agoBuy69¢50
15 hr. agoSell31¢45
15 hr. agoBuy70¢2
15 hr. agoSell70¢2
15 hr. agoBuy71¢7
15 hr. agoSell71¢7
15 hr. agoBuy71¢178
15 hr. agoSell71¢78
15 hr. agoSell71¢100
15 hr. agoBuy70¢3,651
15 hr. agoBuy30¢178
15 hr. agoBuy30¢50
15 hr. agoSell70¢263
15 hr. agoSell70¢3,161
16 hr. agoBuy70¢1,000
16 hr. agoSell70¢1,000
17 hr. agoBuy70¢2
17 hr. agoSell70¢2
18 hr. agoBuy31¢323
18 hr. agoBuy69¢263
18 hr. agoBuy69¢60
19 hr. agoBuy70¢76
19 hr. agoSell70¢76
19 hr. agoBuy31¢290
19 hr. agoBuy69¢240
19 hr. agoBuy69¢50
19 hr. agoSell69¢10
19 hr. agoSell31¢10
20 hr. agoBuy71¢10
20 hr. agoSell71¢10
20 hr. agoSell30¢50
20 hr. agoSell70¢50
20 hr. agoBuy70¢23
20 hr. agoBuy30¢23
20 hr. agoBuy31¢1,191
20 hr. agoBuy69¢1,191
20 hr. agoBuy29¢7,363
20 hr. agoBuy70¢30
20 hr. agoBuy70¢667
20 hr. agoBuy70¢1,148
20 hr. agoBuy71¢1,191
20 hr. agoBuy71¢182
20 hr. agoBuy71¢100

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