Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 6 min. ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Other
Log in for watchlist

88 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 88¢No 13¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$2.5M

24h vol.

$134.7K

1w vol.

$758.5K

1m vol.

$1.8M

Liquidity

$101.4K

Bid / Ask

87¢ / 88¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

87¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
87¢$5,849
86¢$4,436
85¢$12,655
84¢$11,355
83¢$15,485
82¢$7,911
81¢$12,730
80¢$7,845
79¢$209
78¢$206
Asks (sell)Size
88¢$3,029
89¢$5,475
90¢$9,494
91¢$10,291
92¢$37,947
93¢$22,626
94¢$12,595
95¢$12,497
96¢$33,679
97¢$42,835

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 75%Sells 25%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
10 min. agoBuy13¢1,154
10 min. agoSell13¢932
10 min. agoBuy87¢222
1 hr. agoSell87¢0
1 hr. agoBuy87¢0
1 hr. agoSell12¢94
1 hr. agoSell88¢26
1 hr. agoBuy12¢50
1 hr. agoBuy12¢18
1 hr. agoBuy13¢8
1 hr. agoBuy87¢8
2 hr. agoBuy88¢10
2 hr. agoBuy12¢10
2 hr. agoBuy13¢215
2 hr. agoBuy87¢215
3 hr. agoSell87¢8
3 hr. agoBuy87¢8
3 hr. agoBuy13¢38
3 hr. agoBuy87¢38
3 hr. agoBuy88¢22
3 hr. agoBuy12¢22
3 hr. agoBuy13¢8
3 hr. agoBuy87¢8
3 hr. agoBuy13¢77
3 hr. agoBuy87¢77
4 hr. agoBuy13¢338
4 hr. agoBuy87¢338
5 hr. agoSell11¢158
5 hr. agoSell89¢158
5 hr. agoSell11¢473
5 hr. agoSell89¢24
5 hr. agoBuy11¢130
5 hr. agoBuy11¢100
5 hr. agoBuy11¢219
5 hr. agoBuy13¢923
5 hr. agoBuy87¢923
6 hr. agoBuy12¢53
6 hr. agoSell12¢47
6 hr. agoSell12¢6
6 hr. agoBuy12¢93
6 hr. agoSell12¢93
6 hr. agoBuy12¢74
6 hr. agoSell12¢59
6 hr. agoBuy88¢15
6 hr. agoSell88¢6
6 hr. agoBuy88¢6
6 hr. agoBuy12¢388
6 hr. agoBuy88¢388
6 hr. agoBuy88¢91
6 hr. agoBuy12¢9

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.