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Updated 3 min. ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

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88 %

chance

▲ +2.0%24h▲ +2.0%1W
Yes 88¢No 13¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$2.5M

24h vol.

$134.9K

1w vol.

$761.1K

1m vol.

$1.8M

Liquidity

$101K

Bid / Ask

87¢ / 88¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

87¢

Start date

Aug 7, 2026

End date

Oct 31, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 515 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.0% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
87¢$6,269
86¢$5,001
85¢$11,965
84¢$11,355
83¢$15,485
82¢$7,911
81¢$12,730
80¢$7,845
79¢$209
78¢$206
Asks (sell)Size
88¢$3,376
89¢$6,922
90¢$5,202
91¢$9,836
92¢$42,488
93¢$22,236
94¢$12,091
95¢$11,692
96¢$33,679
97¢$42,835

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 81%Sells 19%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
13 min. agoSell87¢0
13 min. agoBuy87¢0
13 min. agoSell12¢94
13 min. agoSell88¢26
13 min. agoBuy12¢50
13 min. agoBuy12¢18
27 min. agoBuy13¢8
27 min. agoBuy87¢8
45 min. agoBuy88¢10
45 min. agoBuy12¢10
59 min. agoBuy13¢215
59 min. agoBuy87¢215
2 hr. agoSell87¢8
2 hr. agoBuy87¢8
2 hr. agoBuy13¢38
2 hr. agoBuy87¢38
2 hr. agoBuy88¢22
2 hr. agoBuy12¢22
2 hr. agoBuy13¢8
2 hr. agoBuy87¢8
2 hr. agoBuy13¢77
2 hr. agoBuy87¢77
3 hr. agoBuy13¢338
3 hr. agoBuy87¢338
4 hr. agoSell11¢158
4 hr. agoSell89¢158
4 hr. agoSell11¢473
4 hr. agoSell89¢24
4 hr. agoBuy11¢130
4 hr. agoBuy11¢100
4 hr. agoBuy11¢219
4 hr. agoBuy13¢923
4 hr. agoBuy87¢923
5 hr. agoBuy12¢53
5 hr. agoSell12¢47
5 hr. agoSell12¢6
5 hr. agoBuy12¢93
5 hr. agoSell12¢93
5 hr. agoBuy12¢74
5 hr. agoSell12¢59
5 hr. agoBuy88¢15
5 hr. agoSell88¢6
5 hr. agoBuy88¢6
5 hr. agoBuy12¢388
5 hr. agoBuy88¢388
5 hr. agoBuy88¢91
5 hr. agoBuy12¢9
5 hr. agoBuy12¢65
5 hr. agoBuy12¢18
5 hr. agoBuy13¢38

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