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Updated 18 min. ago

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 21?

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98 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.7%24h
Yes 98¢No 2¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through...?

5 outcomes

Total volume

$612.6K

24h vol.

$144.5K

1w vol.

$612.6K

1m vol.

$612.6K

Liquidity

$28.7K

Bid / Ask

98¢ / 98¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

98¢

Start date

Oct 14, 2026

End date

Oct 22, 2026

ends in 3 days

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,121 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 95–100% one day before resolution, 98.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 98.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
98¢$588
97¢$156
97¢$1,096
97¢$253
97¢$860
97¢$815
97¢$165
97¢$165
97¢$110
97¢$110
Asks (sell)Size
98¢$234
98¢$243
98¢$500
98¢$665
98¢$478
98¢$1,355
98¢$4,306
99¢$600
99¢$1,000
99¢$1,750

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 53%Sells 47%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
30 min. agoSell98¢2
30 min. agoBuy98¢2
30 min. agoBuy98¢2
30 min. agoBuy2¢2
32 min. agoSell98¢2
32 min. agoBuy98¢2
33 min. agoBuy98¢2
33 min. agoBuy2¢2
34 min. agoSell98¢2
34 min. agoBuy98¢2
35 min. agoBuy98¢2
35 min. agoBuy2¢2
53 min. agoBuy98¢5
53 min. agoBuy2¢5
53 min. agoSell98¢200
53 min. agoBuy98¢150
53 min. agoSell2¢50
2 hr. agoSell97¢2
2 hr. agoSell3¢2
2 hr. agoBuy98¢2
2 hr. agoBuy2¢2
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5
2 hr. agoBuy2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢6
2 hr. agoSell98¢6
2 hr. agoSell2¢407
2 hr. agoBuy2¢407
2 hr. agoBuy3¢111
2 hr. agoBuy97¢106
2 hr. agoBuy97¢5
2 hr. agoSell2¢1,166
2 hr. agoBuy2¢1,166
2 hr. agoSell97¢10
2 hr. agoBuy97¢3
2 hr. agoBuy97¢7
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5
2 hr. agoBuy2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢11
2 hr. agoBuy2¢11
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5
2 hr. agoBuy2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5
2 hr. agoBuy2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5
2 hr. agoBuy2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5
2 hr. agoBuy2¢5
2 hr. agoBuy98¢17
2 hr. agoBuy2¢17
2 hr. agoBuy98¢5

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