← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 4 days ago
Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
56 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
11 outcomesTotal volume
$430
24h vol.
$430
1w vol.
$430
1m vol.
$430
Liquidity
$180.147
Bid / Ask
43¢ / 70¢
Spread 27¢
Last trade
41¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 113 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 35.4% resolved YES. That is 10.0 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 33¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades
No trades were found for this market.
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.