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Updated 4 days ago

Will "Wildwood" be nominated for Best Production Design at the 99th Academy Awards?
20 %
chance
Oscars 2027: Best Production Design Nominations
11 outcomesTotal volume
$1.2K
24h vol.
$48.05
1w vol.
$1.2K
1m vol.
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.3K
Bid / Ask
20¢ / 21¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
21¢
Start date
Oct 15, 2026
End date
Mar 15, 2027
ends in 5 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 154 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.2%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 5¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (24)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 days ago | Buy | 96¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 4¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 88¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 12¢ | 38 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 87¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 13¢ | 18 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 2 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 85¢ | 260 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 60 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 15¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 40 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 18 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 22 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 86¢ | 20 |
| 4 days ago | Buy | 14¢ | 20 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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