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Updated 14 min. ago
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Politics
78 %
chance
▼ −3.7%1h▼ −5.6%24h▼ −1.9%1W
Yes 78¢No 22¢
Market brief
- Down 5.6 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 83% on Oct 24, 2026.
- Last 50 trades: 34 buys, 16 sells; the largest was $4.1K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Scheduled to end in 9 hr. (Oct 26, 2026).
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Brazil Presidential Election
2 outcomes- Flávio Bolsonaro78 %
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva22 %
Total volume
$29.3M
24h vol.
$2.6M
1w vol.
$6.8M
1m vol.
$17.5M
Liquidity
$250.2K
Bid / Ask
78¢ / 78¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
78¢
Start date
Sep 18, 2025
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 9 hr.
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Bids (buy)Size
78¢$402
78¢$1,318
78¢$9
77¢$25
77¢$20
77¢$1,050
77¢$337
77¢$2,428
77¢$1,274
76¢$1,343
Asks (sell)Size
79¢$95
79¢$1,604
79¢$3,000
79¢$1,063
79¢$1,038
79¢$665
79¢$2,000
80¢$1,573
80¢$447
80¢$5,000
Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
Buys 73%Sells 27%
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 19 |
| 20 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 130 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 232 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 251 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 274 |
| 21 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 25 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 760 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 9 |
| 22 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 28 |
| 22 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 217 |
| 23 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 5,196 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 1,000 |
| 23 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 2,126 |
| 24 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 74 |
| 24 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 481 |
| 24 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 6 |
| 24 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 74 |
| 24 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 184 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 1,890 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 2,000 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 1,238 |
| 25 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 24 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 0 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 1,646 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 12 |
| 25 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 1,000 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 577 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 753 |
| 26 min. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 1,500 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 13 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 8 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 50 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 6 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 76 |
| 26 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 44 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 240 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 513 |
| 27 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 96 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 12 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 23 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 0 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 2,523 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 240 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 2,271 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 0 |
| 28 min. ago | Buy | 79¢ | 127 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 61 |
| 28 min. ago | Sell | 79¢ | 16 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 13 |
| 29 min. ago | Sell | 78¢ | 60 |
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