Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 26 to October 28, 2026?

Market brief

• Down 25.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 50% on Oct 26, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 45 buys, 5 sells; the largest was $100 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 12% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (105 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 20 hr. (Oct 28, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 105 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 12.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.4%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.

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• 2026 Balance of Power: Other0 %▲ +0.0%
• Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?3 %▼ −3.5%
• Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?1 %▲ +0.5%

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