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Updated 3 days ago

Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 3 to November 10, 2026?
1 %
chance
Market brief
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (516 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 wk. (Nov 10, 2026).
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Elon Musk # tweets November 3 - November 10, 2026?
30 outcomesTotal volume
$1.1K
24h vol.
$441.698
1w vol.
$1.1K
1m vol.
$1.1K
Liquidity
$6K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 2¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
1¢
Start date
Oct 31, 2026
End date
Nov 10, 2026
ends in 1 wk.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 516 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 2.1% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
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- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
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Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 19¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (1)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 days ago | Sell | 3¢ | 34 |
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