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Updated 18 min. ago

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Other
Watch this market

92 %

chance

▼ −1.0%24h▲ +1.0%1W
Yes 92¢No 8¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 39 buys, 11 sells; the largest was $3K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 88% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before the end resolved YES (529 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 2 wk. (Nov 4, 2026).

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Which party will win the House in 2026?

2 outcomes

Total volume

$12.3M

24h vol.

$527.4K

1w vol.

$1.9M

1m vol.

$5.3M

Liquidity

$4.5M

Bid / Ask

91¢ / 92¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

92¢

Start date

Jul 11, 2025

End date

Nov 4, 2026

ends in 2 wk.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 529 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% seven days before resolution, 88.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 90.1%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
91¢$2,639,954
90¢$645,378
89¢$474,196
88¢$452,797
87¢$2,119
86¢$72
85¢$447
84¢$20
83¢$1,151
82¢$6
Asks (sell)Size
92¢$19,093
93¢$1,632,871
94¢$3,111,094
95¢$2,656,226
96¢$1,251,238
97¢$26,996
98¢$66,352
99¢$1,711,338

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 9%Sells 91%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
44 min. agoBuy92¢307
1 hr. agoBuy92¢5
1 hr. agoSell91¢98
1 hr. agoBuy92¢300
1 hr. agoBuy92¢98
1 hr. agoBuy92¢5
1 hr. agoBuy92¢5
1 hr. agoBuy92¢1
1 hr. agoBuy92¢3
2 hr. agoBuy92¢50
2 hr. agoBuy92¢1,000
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoSell91¢0
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoSell91¢0
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoSell91¢0
2 hr. agoBuy92¢100
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoBuy92¢3
2 hr. agoBuy92¢20
2 hr. agoBuy92¢1,000
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoBuy92¢2,500
2 hr. agoBuy92¢7
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoSell91¢22,222
2 hr. agoBuy92¢4
2 hr. agoBuy92¢5
2 hr. agoSell91¢33,333
2 hr. agoBuy92¢4
3 hr. agoBuy92¢3
3 hr. agoBuy92¢5
3 hr. agoSell91¢0
3 hr. agoBuy92¢7
3 hr. agoBuy92¢59
3 hr. agoBuy92¢16
3 hr. agoBuy92¢5
3 hr. agoSell91¢0
3 hr. agoSell91¢3
3 hr. agoBuy92¢59
3 hr. agoSell91¢0
3 hr. agoBuy93¢5
3 hr. agoSell91¢0
3 hr. agoBuy93¢108
3 hr. agoBuy92¢7
3 hr. agoBuy92¢59

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