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Updated 3 hr. ago

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 13?

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on November 13?

Crypto

1 %

chance

▲ +0.2%1h▼ −4.5%24h
Yes 1¢No 99¢
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Market brief

  • At 1%, the market sees this question as practically decided.
  • Down 4.5 pp in the last 24 hours, after touching 38% on Nov 6, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 24 buys, 26 sells; the largest was $307 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 1% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (1,066 cases). In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
  • Scheduled to end in 24 hr. (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

✦ AI assessment

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Bitcoin above ___ on November 13?

11 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$38.2K

24h vol.

$22.2K

Liquidity

$47.8K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 24 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$38.2K

Bid / Ask

1¢ / 1¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

1¢

Start date

Nov 6, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$5
1¢$25
1¢$714
1¢$355
1¢$219
1¢$5
1¢$5
1¢$25
0¢$670
0¢$673
Asks (sell)Size
1¢$857
2¢$1,213
2¢$214
2¢$244
2¢$12,105
2¢$5
2¢$5
2¢$53
2¢$5
3¢$5

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
3 hr. agoBuy1¢207
3 hr. agoBuy1¢2
4 hr. agoBuy2¢0
4 hr. agoSell1¢1,748
4 hr. agoBuy2¢1
4 hr. agoBuy2¢0
4 hr. agoSell1¢662
4 hr. agoSell1¢1
4 hr. agoBuy2¢60
4 hr. agoSell1¢1
4 hr. agoBuy2¢0
4 hr. agoSell2¢30
5 hr. agoBuy2¢829
5 hr. agoBuy2¢0
5 hr. agoSell2¢52
7 hr. agoSell2¢75
8 hr. agoBuy2¢131
9 hr. agoSell2¢2
12 hr. agoBuy2¢0
12 hr. agoSell2¢5
12 hr. agoBuy2¢0
12 hr. agoSell2¢13
14 hr. agoBuy3¢272
14 hr. agoBuy3¢5
14 hr. agoBuy3¢0
14 hr. agoSell2¢10
15 hr. agoBuy3¢128
15 hr. agoBuy3¢511
16 hr. agoBuy2¢83
17 hr. agoBuy3¢229
18 hr. agoSell3¢27
18 hr. agoSell3¢261
18 hr. agoBuy3¢1,809
18 hr. agoSell3¢1,110
18 hr. agoBuy3¢7,704
18 hr. agoBuy3¢143
18 hr. agoSell3¢207
19 hr. agoSell4¢60
19 hr. agoSell4¢40
19 hr. agoSell4¢100
19 hr. agoSell4¢7
19 hr. agoSell5¢27
19 hr. agoSell5¢40
19 hr. agoSell5¢80
19 hr. agoSell5¢70
20 hr. agoBuy5¢27
21 hr. agoSell5¢9
22 hr. agoSell5¢322
22 hr. agoSell5¢5
22 hr. agoBuy6¢1,431
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT closing at 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.

Event:
Bitcoin above ___ on November 13?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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