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Updated 42 min. ago

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on November 12?

Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 on November 12?

Crypto

7 %

chance

▼ −10.0%1h▲ +0.0%24h
Yes 7¢No 94¢
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Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 21 buys, 29 sells; the largest was $4.29K (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 12% of Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (155 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 14 hr. (Nov 13, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?

5 outcomes

Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$56.6K

24h vol.

$56.6K

Liquidity

$28.7K

End date

Nov 13, 2026

ends in 14 hr.

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
  • Underlying assetPro+Spot price, the move this market still needs, and how often the asset has managed it before.
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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

Bid / Ask

6¢ / 7¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

7¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
11¢$445
10¢$5,150
9¢$175
8¢$175
7¢$265
6¢$2,080
5¢$145
4¢$151
3¢$165
2¢$201
Asks (sell)Size
12¢$72
13¢$85
14¢$8,252
15¢$592
16¢$50
20¢$570
21¢$5,803
24¢$20
25¢$7,570
26¢$1,203

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
42 min. agoBuy13¢219
43 min. agoBuy10¢75
43 min. agoSell11¢5
44 min. agoSell14¢5
48 min. agoBuy18¢37
49 min. agoBuy19¢2,486
49 min. agoBuy17¢20
49 min. agoSell17¢50
51 min. agoSell16¢443
52 min. agoSell20¢5
52 min. agoBuy19¢23
52 min. agoBuy18¢23
52 min. agoBuy17¢23
52 min. agoBuy17¢5
55 min. agoSell14¢50
55 min. agoSell15¢50
55 min. agoSell15¢50
55 min. agoSell15¢50
56 min. agoBuy16¢6
58 min. agoBuy15¢370
58 min. agoSell13¢5
59 min. agoSell13¢5
1 hr. agoSell15¢505
1 hr. agoBuy15¢5,042
1 hr. agoSell15¢421
1 hr. agoSell15¢15
1 hr. agoSell15¢41
1 hr. agoBuy15¢22
1 hr. agoSell15¢5
1 hr. agoSell15¢5
1 hr. agoSell15¢268
1 hr. agoSell15¢160
1 hr. agoBuy15¢72
1 hr. agoSell14¢5
1 hr. agoSell15¢500
1 hr. agoBuy16¢320
1 hr. agoSell16¢106
1 hr. agoSell16¢394
1 hr. agoBuy17¢500
1 hr. agoSell15¢5
1 hr. agoBuy16¢61
1 hr. agoSell15¢17
1 hr. agoBuy15¢500
1 hr. agoSell18¢5
1 hr. agoBuy19¢23
1 hr. agoSell18¢5
1 hr. agoSell18¢45
1 hr. agoSell18¢5
1 hr. agoBuy19¢117
1 hr. agoBuy24¢500
Rules & resolution

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1-minute candle for Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) on the date specified in the title, between 12:00 AM ET and 11:59 PM ET has a final "High" price equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTC/USDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.

Event:
What price will Bitcoin hit on November 12?
Resolution source:
https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

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