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Updated 20 hr. ago

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?

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Watch this market

53 %

chance

▲ +1.0%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 53¢No 47¢

Market brief

  • Last 50 trades: 35 buys, 15 sells; the largest was $3.61K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 35% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (115 cases).
  • Scheduled to end in 3 mo. (Feb 1, 2027).

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Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?

4 outcomes
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Total volume

$505.7K

24h vol.

$4.8K

1w vol.

$42.4K

1m vol.

$119.6K

Liquidity

$19.6K

Bid / Ask

52¢ / 54¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

54¢

Start date

Nov 12, 2025

End date

Feb 1, 2027

ends in 3 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 115 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 34.8% resolved YES. That is 10.6 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

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  • Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
  • Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
See plans · 7 days for $3
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
51¢$4,739
50¢$1,215
48¢$135
47¢$80
44¢$10
43¢$27
41¢$200
39¢$50
38¢$3,475
37¢$5,405
Asks (sell)Size
53¢$300
54¢$8,153
55¢$2,721
56¢$1,953
57¢$6,666
58¢$871
59¢$1,130
60¢$3,920
61¢$1,638
62¢$1,722

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 30%Sells 70%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 day agoBuy53¢99
1 day agoBuy53¢10
1 day agoBuy53¢6
1 day agoSell51¢10
1 day agoSell50¢16
1 day agoSell51¢10
1 day agoBuy53¢6
1 day agoBuy53¢322
1 day agoBuy52¢195
1 day agoBuy51¢100
1 day agoBuy51¢121
1 day agoBuy51¢141
1 day agoBuy50¢30
1 day agoBuy51¢91
1 day agoBuy50¢110
1 day agoBuy48¢161
1 day agoSell47¢50
1 day agoSell48¢210
1 day agoSell47¢50
2 days agoBuy49¢20
2 days agoBuy49¢10
2 days agoBuy49¢10
2 days agoBuy49¢30
2 days agoSell49¢725
2 days agoSell49¢146
2 days agoBuy50¢30
2 days agoBuy49¢30
2 days agoBuy49¢50
2 days agoBuy49¢5
2 days agoBuy49¢5
2 days agoBuy48¢50
2 days agoSell47¢70
2 days agoSell51¢50
2 days agoBuy47¢319
2 days agoBuy50¢978
2 days agoBuy48¢10
2 days agoBuy46¢190
2 days agoBuy47¢10
2 days agoBuy46¢34
2 days agoBuy46¢22
2 days agoBuy46¢3
2 days agoBuy46¢2
2 days agoBuy46¢90
2 days agoSell44¢125
2 days agoBuy51¢63
2 days agoSell48¢5
2 days agoSell48¢20
2 days agoSell52¢6,943
2 days agoSell50¢200
2 days agoBuy55¢328

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