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Updated 20 hr. ago

Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
53 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 35 buys, 15 sells; the largest was $3.61K (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 35% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before the end resolved YES (115 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 3 mo. (Feb 1, 2027).
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✦ AI assessment
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Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
4 outcomes- Avengers: Doomsday53 %
- Spider-Man: Brand New Day44 %
- Dune: Messiah0 %
- The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping0 %
Total volume
$505.7K
24h vol.
$4.8K
1w vol.
$42.4K
1m vol.
$119.6K
Liquidity
$19.6K
Bid / Ask
52¢ / 54¢
Spread 2¢
Last trade
54¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Feb 1, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 115 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 34.8% resolved YES. That is 10.6 points less often than their average price of 45.4% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 99 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 51¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 50¢ | 16 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 51¢ | 10 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 6 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 53¢ | 322 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 52¢ | 195 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 100 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 121 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 141 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 30 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 51¢ | 91 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 50¢ | 110 |
| 1 day ago | Buy | 48¢ | 161 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 50 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 48¢ | 210 |
| 1 day ago | Sell | 47¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 49¢ | 725 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 49¢ | 146 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 30 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 49¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 47¢ | 70 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 51¢ | 50 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 319 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 50¢ | 978 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 48¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 190 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 47¢ | 10 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 34 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 22 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 3 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 2 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 46¢ | 90 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 44¢ | 125 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 51¢ | 63 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 48¢ | 5 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 48¢ | 20 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 52¢ | 6,943 |
| 2 days ago | Sell | 50¢ | 200 |
| 2 days ago | Buy | 55¢ | 328 |
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