← Dashboard · Culture
Updated 2 wk. ago

Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 9 buys, 41 sells; the largest was $849 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before the end resolved YES (416 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 3 mo. (Feb 1, 2027).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Which movie has biggest opening weekend in 2026?
4 outcomesTotal volume
$185.2K
24h vol.
$3.2K
1w vol.
$4.2K
1m vol.
$17K
Liquidity
$23.2K
Bid / Ask
0¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Nov 12, 2025
End date
Feb 1, 2027
ends in 3 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 416 resolved Polymarket Culture markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 0¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 116 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 116 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 40 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 80 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 80 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 637 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 469 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 168 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 716 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 716 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 100¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 150 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 4¢ | 1,565 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 890 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 345 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 50 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 80 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 9,308 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 100 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 150 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 6 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 25 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 5 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 92 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 750 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 500 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,173 |
| 2 wk. ago | Sell | 0¢ | 1,789 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Culture markets from other events.
- Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?77 %▲ +1.4%
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?5 %▲ +0.9%
- Will Mookie Betts win the 2026 National League MVP Award?0 %▼ −0.2%
- Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?74 %▲ +3.0%
- Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 22 to October 24, 2026?2 %▼ −29.2%
- Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?1 %▼ −0.1%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.