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Updated 14 min. ago

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?

Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from November 12 to November 14, 2026?

PoliticsCulture

28 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +8.0%24h
Yes 28¢No 73¢

Market brief

  • Up 8.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 18% on Nov 9, 2026.
  • Last 50 trades: 5 buys, 45 sells; the largest was $50 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
  • Historically, 28% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% one day before the end resolved YES (162 cases). The gap to their average price could still be chance.
  • Scheduled to end in 3 days (Nov 14, 2026).

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

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50%
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Elon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026?

10 outcomes
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Understand this market

Background that stays useful after this market resolves.

Total volume

$8.6K

24h vol.

$7.1K

Liquidity

$3.1K

End date

Nov 14, 2026

ends in 3 days

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Order book, trades and more numbersDepth, spread, up to 50 recent trades, volume by period and dates

1w vol.

$8.6K

Bid / Ask

27¢ / 28¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

29¢

Start date

Nov 9, 2026

Orderbook

Spread: 2¢
Bids (buy)Size
27¢$298
26¢$160
25¢$121
24¢$50
23¢$66
22¢$17
19¢$60
18¢$306
17¢$300
16¢$20
Asks (sell)Size
29¢$279
30¢$160
31¢$63
32¢$157
33¢$242
34¢$195
35¢$290
36¢$139
37¢$89
38¢$135

Snapshot from cache

Recent trades (50)

Buys 73%Sells 27%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
50 min. agoSell28¢3
50 min. agoSell28¢1
50 min. agoSell28¢1
50 min. agoSell28¢1
50 min. agoSell28¢1
50 min. agoSell28¢1
50 min. agoSell28¢1
51 min. agoSell28¢1
51 min. agoSell28¢1
1 hr. agoSell28¢5
1 hr. agoBuy29¢103
1 hr. agoSell28¢5
2 hr. agoSell28¢5
2 hr. agoBuy29¢17
2 hr. agoSell28¢50
2 hr. agoBuy28¢68
3 hr. agoBuy28¢16
3 hr. agoBuy28¢179
3 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
4 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢23
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
5 hr. agoSell28¢1
Rules & resolution

This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from November 12 12:00 PM ET to November 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Event:
Elon Musk # tweets November 12 - November 14, 2026?
Resolution source:
https://x.com/elonmusk
Note:
Neg-risk market (multiple mutually exclusive outcomes).

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