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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Politics
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14 %

chance

▲ +0.0%24h▼ −1.0%1W
Yes 14¢No 87¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$88.7K

24h vol.

$37

1w vol.

$1.3K

1m vol.

$9.4K

Liquidity

$17.1K

Bid / Ask

13¢ / 14¢

Spread 1¢

Last trade

14¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
12¢$5,216
11¢$6,728
10¢$1,988
3¢$334
2¢$800
1¢$750
Asks (sell)Size
13¢$763
14¢$983
15¢$5,686
16¢$221
17¢$27
18¢$31
19¢$32
20¢$32
24¢$525
25¢$5

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

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uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 51%Sells 49%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell12¢10
1 mo. agoBuy12¢10
1 mo. agoBuy88¢100
1 mo. agoBuy12¢100
1 mo. agoBuy87¢12
1 mo. agoSell87¢12
1 mo. agoSell12¢12
1 mo. agoBuy12¢12
1 mo. agoSell12¢23
1 mo. agoBuy12¢23
1 mo. agoSell12¢42
1 mo. agoBuy12¢34
1 mo. agoSell88¢8
1 mo. agoBuy14¢35
1 mo. agoSell14¢35
1 mo. agoSell12¢7
1 mo. agoSell88¢7
1 mo. agoBuy13¢8
1 mo. agoSell14¢3
1 mo. agoSell13¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢5
1 mo. agoSell88¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢24
1 mo. agoBuy12¢3
1 mo. agoSell88¢20
1 mo. agoSell12¢2
1 mo. agoSell88¢2
1 mo. agoSell12¢24
1 mo. agoSell88¢8
1 mo. agoSell88¢16
1 mo. agoSell12¢4
1 mo. agoSell88¢4
1 mo. agoSell12¢10
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoBuy12¢5
1 mo. agoSell11¢333
1 mo. agoBuy11¢333
1 mo. agoSell12¢4
1 mo. agoSell88¢4
1 mo. agoSell12¢15
1 mo. agoSell88¢15
1 mo. agoSell12¢15
1 mo. agoSell88¢1
1 mo. agoBuy12¢10
1 mo. agoSell88¢5
1 mo. agoSell12¢15
1 mo. agoSell88¢15
1 mo. agoBuy14¢74
1 mo. agoSell14¢44
1 mo. agoBuy87¢10

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.