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Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2028?

Politics
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61 %

chance

▼ −1.0%1h▲ +0.5%24h▲ +6.0%1W
Yes 61¢No 39¢

Total volume

$6.6K

24h vol.

$475.013

1w vol.

$1.3K

1m vol.

$3.2K

Liquidity

$22.6K

Bid / Ask

59¢ / 63¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

59¢

Start date

Aug 4, 2026

End date

Dec 31, 2026

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 8,884 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 35–65% seven days before resolution, 48.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 49.0%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 5¢
Bids (buy)Size
53¢$50
40¢$50
30¢$50
27¢$50
24¢$23
23¢$100
13¢$40
11¢$125
10¢$717
9¢$870
Asks (sell)Size
58¢$42
59¢$55
60¢$95
61¢$38
62¢$110
64¢$48
66¢$48
80¢$20
82¢$20
83¢$20

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 76%Sells 24%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy51¢190
1 mo. agoSell52¢20
1 mo. agoBuy49¢170
1 mo. agoBuy49¢20
1 mo. agoSell49¢20
1 mo. agoBuy48¢90
1 mo. agoSell48¢40
1 mo. agoBuy52¢20
1 mo. agoBuy53¢30
1 mo. agoBuy49¢30
1 mo. agoBuy51¢20
1 mo. agoBuy51¢5
1 mo. agoSell49¢5
1 mo. agoBuy52¢20
1 mo. agoBuy48¢20
1 mo. agoSell62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy62¢20
1 mo. agoBuy29¢293
1 mo. agoBuy71¢20
1 mo. agoBuy71¢40
1 mo. agoSell29¢213
1 mo. agoBuy71¢20
1 mo. agoBuy30¢8
1 mo. agoBuy70¢8
1 mo. agoSell34¢18
1 mo. agoSell66¢18
1 mo. agoSell34¢20
1 mo. agoBuy34¢18
1 mo. agoSell66¢2
1 mo. agoBuy38¢9
1 mo. agoBuy62¢9
1 mo. agoBuy63¢48
1 mo. agoSell66¢10
1 mo. agoBuy38¢20
1 mo. agoSell62¢18
1 mo. agoBuy40¢16
1 mo. agoBuy60¢16
1 mo. agoBuy39¢11
1 mo. agoBuy61¢11
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢20
1 mo. agoBuy39¢20
1 mo. agoBuy61¢20
1 mo. agoBuy52¢18
1 mo. agoBuy48¢18
2 mo. agoSell43¢18
2 mo. agoBuy43¢18
2 mo. agoSell54¢2
2 mo. agoSell46¢2
2 mo. agoBuy54¢20

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

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◆ Kalshi comparison

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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