Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Rahm Emanuel announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

24 %

chance

▼ −0.4%1h▼ −2.8%24h▲ +8.2%1W
Yes 24¢No 76¢

Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

50 outcomes

Total volume

$19.9K

24h vol.

$240

1w vol.

$1.1K

1m vol.

$2.9K

Liquidity

$11.3K

Bid / Ask

22¢ / 26¢

Spread 4¢

Last trade

26¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 153 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 15–35% seven days before resolution, 20.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 21.3%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$77
1¢$20
1¢$450
1¢$800
0¢$333
0¢$47
0¢$613
0¢$3,043
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$16
6¢$35
6¢$90
6¢$179
6¢$21
7¢$20
8¢$21
8¢$60
9¢$100
9¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 68%Sells 32%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy98¢24
1 mo. agoBuy2¢24
1 mo. agoBuy97¢20
1 mo. agoSell97¢20
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoSell3¢0
1 mo. agoBuy3¢0
1 mo. agoSell3¢11
1 mo. agoBuy3¢11
1 mo. agoSell4¢10
1 mo. agoSell96¢10
1 mo. agoSell5¢1
1 mo. agoBuy5¢1
1 mo. agoSell5¢114
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢84
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢5
1 mo. agoBuy7¢62
1 mo. agoSell7¢26
1 mo. agoBuy93¢36
1 mo. agoBuy6¢23
1 mo. agoSell6¢3
1 mo. agoSell6¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢21
1 mo. agoSell5¢6
1 mo. agoSell5¢16
1 mo. agoBuy5¢168
1 mo. agoSell5¢138

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.