Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Will Mark Kelly announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

12 %

chance

▼ −0.1%1h▲ +0.0%24h▲ +0.4%1W
Yes 12¢No 88¢

Total volume

$12.6K

24h vol.

$100

1w vol.

$130.027

1m vol.

$338.897

Liquidity

$13.7K

Bid / Ask

12¢ / 12¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 4¢
Bids (buy)Size
1¢$12
0¢$100
0¢$459
0¢$708
0¢$5,155
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$12
5¢$10
5¢$100
7¢$20
8¢$15
15¢$25
16¢$300
60¢$344
60¢$1,600
65¢$8

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 42%Sells 58%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy3¢94
1 mo. agoSell3¢94
1 mo. agoBuy4¢42
1 mo. agoSell4¢42
1 mo. agoSell3¢18
1 mo. agoBuy3¢18
1 mo. agoSell95¢25
1 mo. agoBuy95¢25
1 mo. agoSell3¢5
1 mo. agoBuy3¢5
1 mo. agoSell3¢10
1 mo. agoBuy3¢10
1 mo. agoSell4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy95¢25
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoBuy6¢19
1 mo. agoSell6¢19
1 mo. agoSell95¢145
1 mo. agoSell5¢64
1 mo. agoSell5¢34
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy95¢10
1 mo. agoBuy96¢10
1 mo. agoSell4¢8
1 mo. agoSell2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢40
1 mo. agoSell2¢40
1 mo. agoBuy2¢40
1 mo. agoSell4¢4
1 mo. agoBuy4¢4
1 mo. agoSell4¢82
1 mo. agoBuy4¢50
1 mo. agoBuy4¢8
1 mo. agoBuy4¢5
1 mo. agoBuy4¢20
1 mo. agoSell5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢15
1 mo. agoBuy5¢5
1 mo. agoSell5¢40
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoBuy5¢20
1 mo. agoSell6¢50
1 mo. agoBuy6¢50
1 mo. agoSell6¢33
1 mo. agoBuy6¢10
1 mo. agoBuy6¢15
1 mo. agoBuy6¢8
1 mo. agoSell6¢40

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.