Skip to content

← Dashboard · Politics

Updated 1 mo. ago

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?

Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?

Politics
Log in for watchlist

6 %

chance

▼ −0.5%24h▼ −0.5%1W
Yes 6¢No 94¢

Total volume

$20.4K

24h vol.

$24

1w vol.

$24

1m vol.

$109.6

Liquidity

$10.9K

Bid / Ask

5¢ / 7¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

5¢

Start date

Nov 19, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 222 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 10.4% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.5%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
4¢$730
3¢$865
2¢$980
1¢$3,669
Asks (sell)Size
5¢$833
6¢$773
7¢$240
8¢$1,060
62¢$1,684
66¢$2,353
70¢$800
71¢$3,259
76¢$4,208
81¢$5,474

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 28%Sells 72%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
2 mo. agoSell95¢5
2 mo. agoSell5¢5
2 mo. agoSell95¢27
2 mo. agoSell5¢7
2 mo. agoSell5¢20
2 mo. agoSell4¢17
2 mo. agoBuy4¢17
2 mo. agoSell5¢50
2 mo. agoBuy4¢5
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoSell95¢5
2 mo. agoSell5¢60
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy5¢20
2 mo. agoBuy6¢20
2 mo. agoSell7¢272
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢72
2 mo. agoBuy7¢20
2 mo. agoBuy7¢37
2 mo. agoSell93¢5
2 mo. agoSell93¢118
2 mo. agoSell7¢10
2 mo. agoSell93¢10
2 mo. agoBuy9¢20
2 mo. agoSell9¢20
3 mo. agoSell8¢17
3 mo. agoSell93¢7
3 mo. agoBuy8¢10
3 mo. agoSell8¢70
3 mo. agoBuy8¢7
3 mo. agoBuy8¢63
3 mo. agoSell91¢5
3 mo. agoBuy91¢5
3 mo. agoSell91¢5
3 mo. agoBuy91¢5
3 mo. agoSell92¢16
3 mo. agoSell8¢5
3 mo. agoSell8¢11
3 mo. agoSell7¢15
3 mo. agoBuy7¢15
3 mo. agoSell8¢135
3 mo. agoSell92¢135
3 mo. agoSell9¢174
3 mo. agoSell91¢62
3 mo. agoBuy9¢50
3 mo. agoBuy10¢5
3 mo. agoBuy10¢22
3 mo. agoBuy10¢35

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.

Smart money is a Pro+ feature

See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.

Upgrade plan

Related markets

The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.