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Updated 1 mo. ago

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch?

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11 %

chance

▲ +0.5%24h
Yes 11¢No 89¢

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

7 outcomes

Total volume

$258.6K

24h vol.

$713.583

1w vol.

$2.8K

1m vol.

$11.1K

Liquidity

$24.9K

Bid / Ask

10¢ / 12¢

Spread 2¢

Last trade

12¢

Start date

Nov 27, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 1¢
Bids (buy)Size
8¢$145
7¢$1,980
6¢$283
5¢$661
4¢$2,000
3¢$2,006
2¢$1,200
1¢$7,626
Asks (sell)Size
9¢$907
10¢$1,205
11¢$148
13¢$1,000
17¢$464
34¢$300
35¢$100
36¢$100
37¢$100
38¢$100

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

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Recent trades (50)

Buys 54%Sells 46%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoBuy9¢22
1 mo. agoBuy91¢22
1 mo. agoBuy92¢22
1 mo. agoSell92¢22
1 mo. agoBuy92¢11
1 mo. agoSell92¢11
1 mo. agoSell91¢19
1 mo. agoBuy91¢19
1 mo. agoSell8¢1
1 mo. agoSell92¢1
1 mo. agoBuy92¢16
1 mo. agoSell92¢11
1 mo. agoSell92¢5
1 mo. agoSell91¢22
1 mo. agoBuy91¢22
1 mo. agoBuy92¢22
1 mo. agoSell92¢22
1 mo. agoBuy92¢2
1 mo. agoSell92¢2
1 mo. agoSell91¢521
1 mo. agoBuy91¢521
1 mo. agoSell91¢24
1 mo. agoBuy91¢24
1 mo. agoSell8¢10
1 mo. agoSell92¢10
1 mo. agoSell8¢200
1 mo. agoSell92¢200
1 mo. agoSell91¢213
1 mo. agoBuy91¢213
2 mo. agoSell91¢1
2 mo. agoBuy91¢1
2 mo. agoBuy92¢503
2 mo. agoSell92¢503
2 mo. agoSell91¢5
2 mo. agoBuy91¢5
2 mo. agoSell8¢13
2 mo. agoSell92¢13
2 mo. agoSell91¢200
2 mo. agoBuy91¢200
2 mo. agoSell92¢67
2 mo. agoBuy92¢5
2 mo. agoSell8¢62
2 mo. agoSell91¢50
2 mo. agoBuy91¢50
2 mo. agoSell91¢95
2 mo. agoBuy91¢95
2 mo. agoBuy8¢705
2 mo. agoBuy92¢69
2 mo. agoBuy92¢95
2 mo. agoBuy92¢50

◆ Smart money

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Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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