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Updated 3 mo. ago
Extended FDV above $1B one day after launch?
7 %
chance
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$120.8K
24h vol.
$36.95
1w vol.
$364.6
1m vol.
$3.4K
Liquidity
$21.2K
Bid / Ask
7¢ / 7¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
7¢
Start date
Nov 27, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 133 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 5–15% seven days before resolution, 5.3% resolved YES. Their average price was 9.3%. With this many cases, the difference could still be chance.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 11 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 8 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 9 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 10 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 0 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 12 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 4 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 7 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 2 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 8¢ | 1 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 3 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 7¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 93¢ | 5 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 8¢ | 13 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Buy | 92¢ | 6 |
| 3 mo. ago | Sell | 7¢ | 13 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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