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Updated 1 mo. ago

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch?

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2 %

chance

▼ −0.2%24h▼ −0.7%1W
Yes 2¢No 98¢

Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?

7 outcomes

Total volume

$95.5K

24h vol.

$144.57

1w vol.

$297.925

1m vol.

$1.5K

Liquidity

$31.5K

Bid / Ask

2¢ / 2¢

Spread 0¢

Last trade

2¢

Start date

Nov 27, 2025

End date

Jan 1, 2027

ends in 2 mo.

How reliable is this price range?

Of 242 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 3.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.9%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

Orderbook

Spread: 0¢
Bids (buy)Size
2¢$63
2¢$65
1¢$241
1¢$1,330
1¢$591
1¢$970
1¢$50
1¢$500
0¢$1,149
0¢$25,432
Asks (sell)Size
2¢$38
2¢$380
2¢$73
2¢$6
2¢$260
2¢$524
3¢$100
3¢$100
3¢$453
3¢$200

Snapshot from cache

✦ AI assessment

Generate structured research

uses 1 credit

Recent trades (50)

Buys 30%Sells 70%
Recent trades with time, side, price and size.
TimeSidePriceSize
1 mo. agoSell2¢5
1 mo. agoBuy2¢5
1 mo. agoSell98¢1
1 mo. agoBuy98¢1
2 mo. agoBuy98¢83
2 mo. agoBuy2¢22
2 mo. agoBuy2¢8
2 mo. agoSell98¢53
2 mo. agoBuy98¢1
2 mo. agoBuy2¢1
2 mo. agoBuy98¢53
2 mo. agoSell98¢40
2 mo. agoBuy2¢8
2 mo. agoBuy2¢4
2 mo. agoBuy98¢6
2 mo. agoBuy2¢1
2 mo. agoBuy2¢5
2 mo. agoSell2¢42
2 mo. agoSell98¢11
2 mo. agoBuy2¢31
2 mo. agoSell98¢1
2 mo. agoSell2¢1
2 mo. agoBuy98¢1
2 mo. agoBuy2¢1
2 mo. agoBuy2¢42
2 mo. agoSell2¢37
2 mo. agoSell2¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢6
2 mo. agoBuy2¢6
2 mo. agoSell98¢44
2 mo. agoSell2¢44
2 mo. agoSell98¢6
2 mo. agoSell2¢6
2 mo. agoBuy98¢6
2 mo. agoBuy2¢6
2 mo. agoSell98¢50
2 mo. agoSell2¢50
2 mo. agoSell98¢60
2 mo. agoSell2¢60
2 mo. agoSell98¢82
2 mo. agoSell2¢82
2 mo. agoSell98¢50
2 mo. agoSell2¢50
2 mo. agoSell98¢80
2 mo. agoBuy98¢22
2 mo. agoBuy98¢5
2 mo. agoBuy98¢13
2 mo. agoBuy98¢10
2 mo. agoBuy98¢30
2 mo. agoSell98¢30

◆ Smart money

Do the pros know something the price doesn't?

Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.

A signal is present in this market.

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Smart money is a Pro+ feature

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◆ Kalshi comparison

This market on Kalshi

The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.

Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature

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