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Updated 1 mo. ago

Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
3 %
chance
Extended FDV above ___ one day after launch?
7 outcomesTotal volume
$114.4K
24h vol.
$4.88
1w vol.
$5.34
1m vol.
$158.2
Liquidity
$48.3K
Bid / Ask
3¢ / 3¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
3¢
Start date
Nov 27, 2025
End date
Jan 1, 2027
ends in 2 mo.
How reliable is this price range?
Of 242 resolved Polymarket Crypto markets priced 0–5% seven days before resolution, 3.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 1.9%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
Orderbook
Spread: 2¢Snapshot from cache
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 2¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 206 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 5¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 30 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 116 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 111 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 95¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 95¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 25 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 97¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 5¢ | 17 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 6 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 13 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 97¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 3¢ | 40 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 98¢ | 559 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 46 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 100 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 8 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 15 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 9 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 119 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 65 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 50 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 80 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 5 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 98¢ | 42 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 2¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 31 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 12 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 19 |
| 1 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 10 |
| 1 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 10 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 21 |
| 2 mo. ago | Sell | 99¢ | 51 |
◆ Smart money
Do the pros know something the price doesn't?
Positioning of the wallets whose track record actually holds up — not simply the largest ones.
A signal is present in this market.
Unlock to see which side the qualified wallets are on, and how strongly.
Smart money is a Pro+ feature
See whether the wallets with a verified track record are positioned against the market price — with the evidence behind it, and woven into every AI research report.
◆ Kalshi comparison
This market on Kalshi
The closest matching market on Kalshi, a regulated US prediction exchange — spot price gaps between the two venues.
Kalshi comparison is a Pro+ feature
Compare this market against its Kalshi counterpart — prices, volume and the gap between the two venues — and have the cross-market view woven into every AI research report.
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