Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? odds
66 independent outcomes · $117.8K traded · updated 4 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2028
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Andy Beshear89 %▲ +0.5%$1.3K
- Ted Cruz83 %—$6K
- J.D. Vance82 %▲ +0.3%$4.6K
- Pete Buttigieg79 %▲ +4.0%$2.6K
- Gavin Newsom77 %▲ +0.5%$6.5K
- Josh Shapiro66 %▲ +1.5%$638.57
- Ron DeSantis66 %▲ +1.0%$563.35
- Rahm Emanuel64 %▲ +3.5%$1.3K
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez61 %▲ +0.5%$6.6K
- Cory Booker59 %▲ +6.0%$2.3K
- Mark Kelly57 %▼ −3.0%$541.077
- J.B. Pritzker56 %▲ +4.0%$1.2K
Show all 66 outcomesShow fewer
- Kamala Harris55 %▼ −0.5%$5.1K
- Jon Ossoff55 %▲ +5.0%$3.5K
- Wes Moore52 %—$215.04
- Andrew Yang51 %▼ −6.5%$3.6K
- Brian Kemp49 %▲ +18.0%$449.781
- Phil Murphy48 %▲ +4.0%$1.4K
- Raphael Warnock48 %—$821.581
- Rand Paul48 %▼ −4.5%$462
- Marco Rubio45 %▲ +2.0%$2.8K
- Josh Hawley36 %▼ −0.5%$4.6K
- Katie Britt35 %▼ −0.5%$20
- Glenn Youngkin34 %▲ +1.0%$657.62
- Gretchen Whitmer32 %▼ −3.0%$966.307
- Steve Bannon32 %▼ −3.0%$2.4K
- John Fetterman25 %▲ +12.0%$3K
- Hunter Biden25 %▲ +0.5%$4.9K
- Nikki Haley25 %▼ −1.0%$360.67
- Byron Donalds25 %—$93.652
- Elise Stefanik24 %▼ −3.0%$80
- Don Lemon23 %—$40
- Marjorie Taylor Greene22 %▲ +4.0%$491.528
- Gina Raimondo22 %—$1.3K
- Vivek Ramaswamy21 %▲ +2.5%$252.201
- Tulsi Gabbard20 %▼ −0.5%$934.925
- Stephen A. Smith19 %▲ +1.5%$1.1K
- Mark Cuban19 %—$227.779
- Jon Stewart18 %—$1.8K
- Kristi Noem18 %▼ −3.0%$80
- Tucker Carlson17 %▲ +1.0%$4.2K
- Candace Owens17 %▼ −8.5%$244.074
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson16 %—$990.362
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.16 %—$1.1K
- Michelle Obama15 %▲ +1.5%$1.3K
- Mike Pence15 %▲ +1.0%$650.18
- Kim Kardashian14 %—$5.2K
- Donald Trump Jr.14 %▲ +1.5%$2.7K
- Liz Cheney14 %▲ +0.5%$1.8K
- Tom Brady14 %—$40
- George Clooney13 %▼ −1.1%$1.5K
- Oprah Winfrey13 %—$28.61
- Elon Musk13 %—$2.4K
- Donald Trump12 %—$100
- Matt Gaetz12 %▲ +2.5%$231.988
- Bernie Sanders12 %—$2.4K
- LeBron James11 %▲ +0.6%$276.784
- Zohran Mamdani11 %—$1.5K
- Chelsea Clinton11 %—$125
- Beto O’Rourke10 %▲ +1.5%$20
- Tim Walz9 %▼ −0.4%$5K
- MrBeast9 %—$1.9K
- Erika Kirk9 %—$2.7K
- Ivanka Trump7 %—$389
- Hillary Clinton4 %▲ +0.1%$4.6K
- Barack Obama2 %—$628.222
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
Related events
Ballon d'Or Winner 2026Harry Kane67 %19 outcomes$47.3MMLB: 2026 NL MVPPete Crow-Armstrong99 %8 outcomes$1.1MOscars 2027: Best Picture WinnerThe Odyssey47 %27 outcomes$419.2KPro Football: 2026 MVP WinnerJosh Allen30 %29 outcomes$1.3MNext James Bond actor?No Bond chosen39 %24 outcomes$1.5MElon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?260-27912 %30 outcomes$78.8K
Prediction markets carry real risk of loss. Nothing on Market Guy is financial advice — it is research tooling to help you think, not a signal to trade.