Oscars 2027: Best Actress Nominations odds
26 independent outcomes · $21.4K traded · updated 8 hr. ago
Resolves Mar 15, 2027
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Julianne Moore96 %▲ +1.5%$2.2K
- Inde Navarrette87 %▲ +1.5%$606.82
- Olivia Wilde72 %—$738.695
- Sandra Hüller59 %▼ −0.5%$591.091
- Virginie Efira54 %▲ +1.0%$1K
- Ruth Madeley47 %▲ +8.0%$690.3
- Renate Reinsve36 %▼ −9.0%$380.28
- Sophie Okonedo15 %▼ −0.9%$1.3K
- Rosalind Eleazar14 %▲ +0.5%$1K
- Michelle Monaghan10 %▼ −0.4%$60
- Mikey Madison7 %▲ +0.5%$204.357
- Daisy Edgar-Jones7 %▼ −0.3%$1.6K
Show all 26 outcomesShow fewer
- Dakota Johnson7 %▼ −0.8%$237.52
- Laura Linney7 %—$301
- Emily Blunt6 %▲ +2.0%$2.1K
- Natalie Portman6 %▼ −30.7%$813.407
- Cynthia Erivo6 %—$1.5K
- Joan Collins6 %—$1.2K
- Lily Gladstone6 %—$386.9
- Zendaya5 %▲ +0.1%$260.021
- Anne Hathaway4 %—$958.156
- Michelle Williams4 %▲ +0.9%$620.951
- Penélope Cruz4 %▼ −0.1%$568.23
- Scarlett Johansson4 %▼ −2.7%$604.57
- Kirsten Dunst2 %▼ −0.1%$976.208
- Shailene Woodley1 %▼ −0.4%$423.327
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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