Who will announce Presidential run before 2027? odds
70 independent outcomes · $1.2M traded · updated 4 hr. ago
Resolves Jan 1, 2027
These outcomes are independent — they do not compete, and more than one can happen. That is why the percentages here add up to more than 100%.
ThresholdChance24hVolume7d
- Pete Buttigieg53 %▲ +19.9%$22.6K
- Rahm Emanuel24 %▼ −2.8%$19.9K
- Phil Murphy23 %▼ −14.4%$4.6K
- Ron DeSantis14 %▼ −2.4%$3.3K
- Gavin Newsom14 %—$88.7K
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13 %▼ −2.0%$56.5K
- Andy Beshear12 %▲ +5.1%$26.3K
- Mark Kelly12 %—$12.6K
- Ted Cruz10 %—$16.8K
- Raphael Warnock10 %—$4K
- Greg Abbott9 %—$2.2K
- Kamala Harris7 %▼ −1.1%$68.4K
Show all 70 outcomesShow fewer
- Glenn Youngkin7 %▲ +0.6%$6.8K
- Cory Booker7 %▼ −0.4%$17.4K
- Gina Raimondo7 %▲ +1.2%$4.3K
- Don Lemon7 %▲ +0.2%$2.8K
- J.B. Pritzker7 %—$3.8K
- Rand Paul6 %▼ −0.5%$20.4K
- Jon Stewart6 %▲ +1.1%$4.5K
- Nikki Haley6 %▼ −0.5%$4.7K
- Josh Shapiro6 %▼ −0.2%$13.4K
- Vivek Ramaswamy6 %—$9.6K
- J.D. Vance5 %▼ −0.4%$39.3K
- Josh Hawley5 %▼ −0.1%$9.1K
- Beto O’Rourke5 %—$11.5K
- Jon Ossoff5 %▼ −0.9%$26.9K
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.5 %▼ −0.5%$17.1K
- Brian Kemp5 %—$4.6K
- Tom Brady5 %▲ +0.5%$9.7K
- George Clooney5 %—$5.4K
- Andrew Yang4 %▼ −0.3%$16.3K
- Marco Rubio4 %▲ +0.4%$12.4K
- Hunter Biden4 %—$58.5K
- John Thune4 %▲ +1.2%$5K
- Oprah Winfrey4 %▼ −0.3%$17.2K
- John Fetterman4 %▲ +0.6%$7.2K
- Tucker Carlson4 %▼ −0.5%$30.5K
- Erika Kirk4 %▲ +0.2%$26.8K
- Donald Trump Jr.4 %▼ −0.7%$9.5K
- Marjorie Taylor Greene4 %—$22.3K
- Liz Cheney4 %▼ −1.5%$3K
- Ivanka Trump3 %▲ +0.2%$39.5K
- Zohran Mamdani3 %▼ −0.2%$36.3K
- Gretchen Whitmer3 %▲ +0.4%$5K
- Wes Moore3 %▼ −0.1%$6.9K
- Donald Trump3 %▼ −0.1%$70.3K
- Kristi Noem3 %▼ −0.9%$20.2K
- Elon Musk3 %▲ +0.1%$9.8K
- LeBron James3 %▼ −0.6%$16.1K
- Elise Stefanik3 %▲ +0.1%$4.3K
- Steve Bannon3 %—$20.5K
- Michelle Obama3 %▼ −0.3%$14.7K
- Katie Britt3 %▲ +0.8%$26.4K
- Candace Owens2 %—$12.2K
- Barack Obama2 %▼ −0.8%$11.3K
- Matt Gaetz2 %▼ −0.3%$3.3K
- Kim Kardashian2 %▼ −0.1%$6.6K
- Mike Pence2 %▼ −0.2%$15.6K
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2 %▼ −0.3%$11K
- MrBeast2 %▼ −0.1%$29.6K
- Tulsi Gabbard2 %▼ −0.4%$6.5K
- Bernie Sanders2 %▲ +1.2%$4.3K
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders1 %▼ −0.1%$8.3K
- Tim Walz1 %—$6.8K
- Mark Cuban1 %▲ +0.4%$14.7K
- Chelsea Clinton1 %—$13.5K
- Roy Cooper1 %▼ −0.4%$7K
- Byron Donalds1 %▼ −0.6%$10K
- Hillary Clinton1 %—$15.7K
- Stephen A. Smith1 %▲ +0.3%$19.9K
Frequently asked questions
- Why do these add up to more than 100%?
- Because these outcomes are independent rather than competing. Several of them can happen at once, so their probabilities do not have to sum to 100%.
- How often do these odds update?
- Prices refresh every 15 minutes from Polymarket. The 24-hour column shows how far each outcome has moved in percentage points since yesterday.
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