Daily recap
Prediction market recap — Oct 18, 2026
The moves that mattered across Polymarket, plus where the AI disagreed with the market. Fresh every day — no signup.
This is an archived recap. See today's latest recap.
Top moves
Biggest 24-hour price swings on the public markets.
1Will MrBeast's next video get at least 60 million views on day 1?63¢▲ +62.5%2Nebraska vs Oregon: Total Points — Over 51.5 points5¢▼ −45.0%3
Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" get between 60 and 80 million views on week 1?53¢▲ +44.0%4New Mexico vs Hawai'i: Spread — New Mexico wins by over 14.5 points8¢▼ −42.0%5Nebraska vs Oregon: Spread — Oregon wins by over 6.5 points16¢▼ −35.0%6Nebraska vs Oregon — Oregon36¢▼ −34.0%
Where AI disagrees with the market
The widest gaps between the market price and the AI's research-based estimate.
Biggest coin moves
The largest 24-hour price swings among the coins in our crypto hub.
Fresh AI research
Markets our AI analysed most recently.
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