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Updated 33 min. ago
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
88 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 4 buys, 46 sells; the largest was $65 (sell). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 85% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before the end resolved YES (822 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
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Bulgaria Presidential Election
14 outcomesTotal volume
$603.1K
24h vol.
$64.5K
1w vol.
$192.7K
1m vol.
$418.7K
Liquidity
$340K
Bid / Ask
87¢ / 88¢
Spread 1¢
Last trade
87¢
Start date
Jan 19, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 822 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 85–95% one day before resolution, 85.0% resolved YES. That is 4.9 points less often than their average price of 89.9% implied — prices in this range have tended to run high.
This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 159 |
| 36 min. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 56 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 2 |
| 2 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 0 |
| 2 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 5 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 52 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 73 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 40 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 2 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 22 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 150 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 3 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 0 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 86¢ | 1 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 56 |
| 3 hr. ago | Buy | 88¢ | 56 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 77 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 86 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 13 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 90 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 82 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 15 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 98 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 65 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 131 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 82 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 98 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 65 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 131 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 98 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 10 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 65 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 131 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 12 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 82 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 98 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 65 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 20 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 131 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 38 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 52 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 500 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 30 |
| 3 hr. ago | Sell | 87¢ | 149 |
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