← Dashboard · Politics
Updated 4 wk. ago
Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?
0 %
chance
Market brief
- Last 50 trades: 40 buys, 10 sells; the largest was $434 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
- Historically, 2% of Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before the end resolved YES (596 cases).
- Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).
◆ Your call
What's your number?
Pick your own probability before you read the AI — then see how it compares.
✦ AI assessment
Generate structured research
Bulgaria Presidential Election
14 outcomesTotal volume
$131.3K
24h vol.
$12.6K
1w vol.
$24.3K
1m vol.
$93.8K
Liquidity
$61.3K
Bid / Ask
1¢ / 0¢
Spread 0¢
Last trade
0¢
Start date
Jan 19, 2026
End date
Oct 26, 2026
ends in 1 day
How reliable is this price range?
Of 596 resolved Polymarket Politics markets priced 0–5% one day before resolution, 1.7% resolved YES. Their average price was 0.8%. In this range the price has been a reliable guide.
A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this
What a plan adds on this market
Only what exists for this market right now.
- Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
- Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
- Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.
Order book and recent tradesDepth, spread and up to 50 recent trades
Orderbook
Spread: 1¢Snapshot from cache
Recent trades (50)
| Time | Side | Price | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 68 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 68 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 6,380 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 520 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 20 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2,540 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 99¢ | 184 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 2,400 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 450 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 122 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 45 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 1 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 1¢ | 400 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 334 |
| 4 wk. ago | Sell | 1¢ | 66 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 2 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 71 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 71 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 250 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 250 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 436 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 436 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 250 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 250 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 200 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 129 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 129 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 22 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 22 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 100 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 28 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 28 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 167 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 167 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 16 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 0¢ | 16 |
| 4 wk. ago | Buy | 100¢ | 25 |
Related markets
The most-traded open Politics markets from other events.
- 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House1 %▼ −0.4%
- Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?100 %▲ +0.1%
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?6 %▼ −2.0%
- Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?69 %▼ −1.5%
- US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?100 %▲ +9.2%
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?28 %▼ −1.0%
Keep exploring
Moving today
Open markets with the biggest 24-hour moves on real volume.