Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Market brief

• Down 2.0 pp in the last 24 hours, after dipping to 8% on Oct 22, 2026.
• Last 50 trades: 15 buys, 35 sells; the largest was $549 (buy). Too few trades of $5K+ for a big-money read.
• Historically, 16% of Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before the end resolved YES (1,333 cases).
• Scheduled to end in 1 day (Oct 26, 2026).

How reliable is this price range?

Of 1,333 resolved Polymarket markets across all topics priced 5–15% one day before resolution, 16.2% resolved YES. That is 6.6 points more often than their average price of 9.6% implied — prices in this range have tended to run low.

This topic alone has too few resolved cases in this range, so all topics are shown.

A historical frequency for the price range, not a probability for this market and not advice. How we measure this

What a plan adds on this market

Only what exists for this market right now.

• Full AI research reportProA cited research report on demand: probability, bull and bear case, key facts with sources.
• Your forecasts, scoredProSave your call on this market and see it scored against the result.
• Smart moneyPro+Who holds the largest positions here, and how each wallet has done on resolved markets.

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